2022 predictions in real estate
Last year we saw record home sales ($6M nationally) with tight inventory. Home prices increased roughly 20%!
What will this year look like?
Here are a few predictions . . .
Prediction #1:
Home prices will continue to increase but not as dramatically as last year, more like 5% instead of 20%.
Prediction #2:
The reason why home prices will continue to increase is due to tight inventory. Last year, we averaged 30 days of inventory (1.3M homes for sale nationally). This year, we'll see closer to 1.8M homes for sale. This will be more in line with inventory levels from 2020.
Prediction #3:
New construction will help alleviate our short inventory supplies. If the Federal Reserve can help move inflation down from 6.8% to 3.8% by the end of 2022, the cost of supplies and building materials will be more affordable prompting new construction, which in turn will help inventory levels.
Prediction #4:
Buyer demand will remain strong. Millennials, the largest generation in the US, will continue to flood the market as first time homebuyers. We’ll also see Baby Boomers begin to downsize and seek new construction, townhouses, condos or single family homes with main floor living. In addition to these two groups, 30-40 year old professionals, with growing families will begin to upsize, seeking their “forever homes.” This will be especially true if people continue to work from home instead of going into the office for work.
Prediction #5:
The average days a home is listed for sale (DOM) will increase ever so slightly from a national average of 22 DOM to 28 DOM. We’ll see this take place as inventory begins to loosen up throughout the year.
What does this all mean?
Interest Rates will increase. The last Fed meeting discussed raising the interest rates to help ease inflation. Increases may take place two to three times throughout 2022. Last year, we saw interest rates hover around 3%. This year, interest rates may rise to 3.75%. If you are thinking of buying, now is a great time to beat the spring rush and lock in a good rate!
What are your predictions for the 2022 housing market?